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Wind AlliesTier 2

at Storm Gate Games Distorted Reflections Store Championships

decks
3 (21.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 1-8-1
overall winrate
15.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.3% avg ELO -7.5 per match
expected value
40.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1186 · median 1131 · range 1122–1303 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042 Q1 1208 Q3 1324 1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 67% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 28.6% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 41.5% -5.5
Fire Suzaku 14.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.8% -11.5
Wind Shadowstrike 14.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.1% +1.7
Fire Luxem Assassin 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.2% -4.6
Fire Suited 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.2% -10.8
Water Fractal 7.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 35.4% -14.0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Huaji of Heaven's Rise +1.00 1 0 0
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Esteemed Knight +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Banner Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Displace -1.00 0 1 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Shangxiang, Fierce Princess +1.00 1 0 0
Rallied Advance -1.00 0 1 0
Windrider Vanguard +1.00 1 0 0
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Windmill Engineer -1.00 0 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar -1.00 0 1 0
Hurricane Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Inspiring Call +1.00 1 0 0
Second Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Ornamental Greatsword -1.00 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Unrelenting Warden +1.00 1 0 0
Phalanx Captain +1.00 1 0 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Annul Spell -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/32189/archetypes/Wind Allies